Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.247019 0.285460 0.329197 0.382907 0.447454 0.522977 0.618695
2025-09-28 0.185933 0.234681 0.296426 0.381523 0.497583 0.653046 0.881736
2025-10-05 0.155279 0.208863 0.282289 0.392734 0.559103 0.807964 1.223709
2025-10-12 0.134174 0.189580 0.270335 0.400658 0.613795 0.964123 1.619360
2025-10-19 0.118601 0.174508 0.260285 0.407246 0.665419 1.127104 2.085855
2025-10-26 0.107763 0.164330 0.255180 0.419507 0.727966 1.325556 2.700747
2025-11-02 0.097557 0.153344 0.246508 0.423153 0.774771 1.507247 3.362779
2025-11-09 0.088651 0.143095 0.237210 0.423353 0.814230 1.685395 4.105215
2025-11-16 0.080675 0.133300 0.227092 0.419756 0.844523 1.852545 4.910235
2025-11-23 0.073458 0.123902 0.216277 0.412590 0.865025 2.003032 5.756962
2025-11-30 0.069435 0.119770 0.214718 0.424226 0.931691 2.295883 7.262336
2025-12-07 0.063794 0.111954 0.204908 0.416138 0.948358 2.458051 8.423477
2025-12-14 0.059836 0.107015 0.200412 0.419723 0.997472 2.740628 10.328496
2025-12-21 0.055845 0.101600 0.194281 0.418548 1.034277 3.003563 12.422431
2025-12-28 0.053432 0.099060 0.193873 0.431153 1.113926 3.450140 15.955679
2026-01-04 0.050940 0.096082 0.192105 0.440032 1.185635 3.907446 20.200041
2026-01-11 0.048564 0.093089 0.189906 0.447407 1.255388 4.398246 25.471974
2026-01-18 0.046805 0.091224 0.190038 0.461134 1.350971 5.058401 33.295734
2026-01-25 0.044587 0.088134 0.186908 0.465217 1.415231 5.622061 41.650242
2026-02-01 0.042336 0.084757 0.182690 0.465441 1.466259 6.159902 51.230830
2026-02-08 0.040047 0.081089 0.177342 0.461413 1.500614 6.639948 61.698575
2026-02-15 0.037747 0.077199 0.171023 0.453389 1.517422 7.040663 72.637292
2026-02-22 0.036651 0.075999 0.171395 0.466420 1.625560 8.075187 97.389443